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CFA Program Level I

CAPM and the security market line: CFA Level I explained

The CAPM says an asset's expected return equals the risk-free rate plus beta times the market risk premium: E(Ri) = Rf + beta x [E(Rm) - Rf]. The security market line plots that required return against beta for every asset. An asset whose forecast return is above the line has a positive alpha and is underpriced; one below it is overpriced.

The formula and what beta measures

E(Ri) = Rf + beta_i x [E(Rm) - Rf]. The bracket is the market risk premium.

Beta = covariance of the asset's returns with the market's returns / variance of the market's returns. A beta of 1 means the asset moves with the market in the same direction and by the same magnitude on average.

Only market (systematic) risk is rewarded. The CAPM assumes firm-specific risk can be removed by diversification, so it earns no extra expected return.

Worked example: required return

Risk-free rate 2.5%, market risk premium 6.0%, beta 1.2.

E(R) = 2.5% + 1.2 x 6.0% = 2.5% + 7.2% = 9.7%.

If you are given the expected market return instead of the premium, subtract the risk-free rate first. With E(Rm) = 8.5%, the premium is 8.5% - 2.5% = 6.0%.

Reading the security market line

The SML is the set of equilibrium expected returns for each beta when the CAPM holds. Federal Reserve research defines an asset's alpha as its deviation from that line; an investor using the CAPM identifies a positive-alpha asset as underpriced.

Example: the SML gives a stock 9.7% for its beta of 1.2. An analyst forecasts 11.0%. Alpha = 11.0% - 9.7% = +1.3%. The stock plots above the SML and is underpriced. A forecast of 8.0% would give -1.7% and an overpriced stock.

Black, Jensen and Scholes (1972), cited in the same research, found that from 1926 to 1966 low-beta US stocks earned more than the CAPM predicts and high-beta stocks less: the observed SML is flatter than the model's.

Jensen's alpha for a fund

Jensen's alpha = Rp - [Rf + beta_p x (Rm - Rf)]. It is the return above what the CAPM requires for the market risk taken.

Example: a fund returned 10.0%, the market returned 9.0%, the risk-free rate was 2.0% and the fund's beta was 1.3. Required = 2.0% + 1.3 x 7.0% = 11.1%. Alpha = 10.0% - 11.1% = -1.1%. The fund beat the market but fell short for its risk.

Like the Treynor ratio, Jensen's alpha counts market risk only and depends on which index is used as the market.

Where the exam catches people

  • Believing a stock above the SML is overpriced: a forecast return above the line means positive alpha and an underpriced stock.
  • Multiplying beta by the market return instead of the market risk premium: beta scales E(Rm) - Rf.
  • Believing a more volatile stock must have a higher CAPM return: only beta matters; extra firm-specific volatility earns nothing.
  • Believing a fund that beat the market has positive Jensen's alpha: a high-beta fund must beat its CAPM required return, not the market return.
  • Believing Jensen's alpha is independent of the benchmark: it depends on the market index chosen.

Written from CFA Institute's documentation

Try 3 questions on this

Pick an answer to see why each option is right or wrong.

  1. An analyst uses the capital asset pricing model to estimate the required return on Corvane Logistics shares. The risk-free rate is 3.0%, the expected market risk premium (the expected market return minus the risk-free rate) is 5.0%, and Corvane's beta is 1.4. The expected return on Corvane shares is closest to:

    Right. In the game that’s Renown for your Portfolio Construction building.

    Not that one: C is right. In the game your Portfolio Construction building would lose a little Renown, and this question would come back later.

  2. Using the capital asset pricing model, an analyst finds that the security market line gives Ternby Mining shares an equilibrium expected return of 9% for their beta. The analyst's own forecast return for the shares is 12%. Under the CAPM, Ternby shares are most likely:

    Right. In the game that’s Renown for your Portfolio Construction building.

    Not that one: C is right. In the game your Portfolio Construction building would lose a little Renown, and this question would come back later.

    Show the full explanation and doc quotes

    An asset with a positive alpha plots above the SML and is identified as underpriced: its price is low enough to offer more than the return its systematic risk requires.

    Written from www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2014/201401/index.html

  3. Over the past year, a fund returned 8.4% while its benchmark market index returned 11.0% and the risk-free rate was 3.0%. The fund's beta relative to that index was 0.5. The fund's Jensen's alpha for the year is closest to:

    Right. In the game that’s Renown for your Portfolio Construction building.

    Not that one: C is right. In the game your Portfolio Construction building would lose a little Renown, and this question would come back later.