CFA Program Level I
Material nonpublic information and mosaic theory: CFA Level I
Standard II(A) bars members and candidates who hold material nonpublic information from acting on it or causing others to act on it. Information is material if its release would likely move the price or a reasonable investor would want it, and it stays nonpublic until it reaches the market generally. Under the mosaic theory, an analyst may act on a conclusion built from public facts and nonmaterial nonpublic details, even if the conclusion itself would be material.
Is it material?
Information is material if disclosing it would likely affect the price of a security, or if reasonable investors would want it before making an investment decision. Examples on CFA Institute's II(A) page include earnings, mergers and acquisitions, management changes, dividend changes, bankruptcies, major legal disputes and large pending trade orders.
Four factors decide close cases. Specific, detailed information is more likely to be material. A factual statement from a corporate insider is likely material, while a competitor's speculation usually is not. Trial results from people working on the trial are likely material, while guesses from unconnected experts usually are not. Information whose price effect is unclear, or that has gone stale, may not be material.
Is it public?
Information stays nonpublic until it has been disseminated to the market generally, not just to a select group. An earnings release that is posted, widely distributed and filed counts as disseminated. You need a reasonable expectation that people have received it, but you do not have to wait for the slowest channel.
Telling analysts is not telling the market. A briefing or call for a room of analysts does not make information public, and guidance given to a select group can be selective disclosure. Information from a membership-restricted social media group may also be nonpublic, so check that it is available from a public source first.
Paying an industry expert for insight is allowed, but a member must not request or act on confidential information from the expert. A signed expert-network agreement does not remove that duty. If the expert passes on material nonpublic information, the member may not trade until it is public.
The mosaic theory
An analyst may combine public information with nonmaterial nonpublic information to reach a conclusion, even when that conclusion would be material if the company announced it directly. CFA Institute encourages gathering information from company contacts, customers, suppliers, contractors and competitors.
Keep records of all the research. Documentation of the public and nonmaterial sources shows that the conclusion came from proper methods rather than from inside information.
Example: an analyst counts store traffic herself, reads suppliers' published results and hears shop staff say stores are quiet. She concludes quarterly sales will miss forecasts and issues a sell. No single input was material nonpublic information, so the sell does not violate II(A). If instead the CFO had told her privately that sales missed, she could not act on it.
What to do when you hold it
Encourage the company to disclose the information publicly. If that fails, share it only with designated supervisory and compliance staff, and do not trade on it or change recommendations because of it.
Firms control the flow of information with firewalls: a compliance clearance area, watch, restricted and rumor lists, documented procedures, extra review of proprietary trading, and separation of investment banking from sales and research. Standard I(A) adds that where local law is looser than the Code and Standards, members follow the stricter rule, so the absence of an insider-trading law does not permit trading.
Where the exam catches people
- Believing information is public once dozens of analysts have heard it: it stays nonpublic until it reaches the market generally, for example through a press release and filing.
- Believing any unannounced fact about a company is material: a competitor's speculation or a vague rumor is usually not material, because the source and specificity matter.
- Believing a conclusion that would be material can never be acted on: under the mosaic theory it can, if it was built from public and nonmaterial nonpublic inputs.
- Believing an expert-network agreement protects the member: if the expert discloses material nonpublic information, the member still may not trade on it until it is public.
- Believing the duty applies only to stocks: II(A) also covers bonds, derivatives, mutual funds and alternative investments.