CFA Program Level I
Money-weighted vs time-weighted return: CFA Level I explained
A time-weighted return links the returns of the sub-periods between external cash flows, so it removes the effect of when the client added or withdrew money. A money-weighted return is the internal rate of return of all the cash flows, so it reflects their timing and size. Use time-weighted to judge a manager who does not control the cash flows.
The two definitions
The GIPS standards define a time-weighted return as a method of calculating period-by-period returns that reflects the change in value and negates the effects of external cash flows. A money-weighted return reflects the change in value and the timing and size of external cash flows.
An external cash flow is capital that enters or leaves the portfolio. Dividend and interest income are not external cash flows.
To compute a time-weighted return, value the portfolio just before each external cash flow, compute each sub-period's return, then link them: (1 + R1)(1 + R2)...(1 + Rn) - 1. To compute a money-weighted return, find the discount rate at which the present value of all cash flows, including the ending value, is zero. That is the internal rate of return.
Worked example
A client invests 100,000 at the start of year 1. At the end of year 1 the portfolio is worth 110,000, and the client then adds 100,000, making 210,000. During year 2 the portfolio falls 5% to 199,500.
Time-weighted: year 1 return = 110,000 / 100,000 - 1 = 10%. Year 2 return = 199,500 / 210,000 - 1 = -5%. Linked two-year return = 1.10 x 0.95 - 1 = 4.5%. Annualized: 1.045^0.5 - 1 = 2.23% a year.
Money-weighted: solve 100,000(1 + r)^2 + 100,000(1 + r) = 199,500. With x = 1 + r, x^2 + x - 1.995 = 0, so x = (-1 + √8.98) / 2 = 0.99833 and r = -0.17% a year. Check: 100,000 x 0.99833^2 + 100,000 x 0.99833 = 199,500.
The manager earned positive returns in a time-weighted sense, but the client's money-weighted return is slightly negative, because the larger amount was invested in the year the portfolio fell. The client chose that timing, so the time-weighted figure is the fair measure of the manager.
What the GIPS standards require
The GIPS standards are voluntary ethical standards for presenting investment performance, based on fair representation and full disclosure. A firm that claims compliance must apply them firm-wide.
A firm must present time-weighted returns unless it controls the external cash flows into the portfolios and the composite or pooled fund is closed-end, fixed-life, fixed-commitment, or holds illiquid investments as a significant part of its strategy. Only then may it present money-weighted returns.
For time-weighted returns, portfolios must be valued at least monthly and on the date of every large cash flow, which each firm defines per composite. Periodic and sub-period returns are linked geometrically. Money-weighted returns must be annualized since inception and use daily external cash flows.
Where the exam catches people
- Believing the money-weighted return is better for judging a manager: it includes the client's timing decisions, so the time-weighted return is used when the client controls cash flows.
- Believing a time-weighted return averages the sub-period returns: it links them geometrically, (1 + R1)(1 + R2) - 1.
- Believing dividends received are external cash flows: under the GIPS standards, dividend and interest income are not external cash flows.
- Believing GIPS firms may choose money-weighted returns freely: they must present time-weighted returns unless they control the cash flows and the fund meets one of the listed characteristics.
- Believing the two measures always agree: they match only when there are no external cash flows during the period.